Innovation or Stagnation: The 2025 Economics Nobel and the Future of Bangladesh

Published in South Asia Journal. October 25, 2025

This year’s Nobel laureates in economics — Joel Mokyr, Philippe Aghion, and Peter Howitt — received the prize for their research on, among other things, creative destruction. The idea that “destruction” itself can be creative was first presented as a theory by Harvard professor Joseph Schumpeter, who remains a favorite economist of millions, including myself.

What is this theory that has been discussed by students and teachers for generations?

Its central idea is that economic growth, the evolution of capitalism, and technological progress occur through a continuous cycle in which new technologies, products, institutions, or business models replace the old ones. Schumpeter placed particular emphasis on the role of the entrepreneur. Indeed, the entrepreneur is the driving force of innovation, because, according to Schumpeter, it is the entrepreneur who breaks down existing structures and reorganizes resources in new and more productive ways.

He considered the capitalist economy to be inherently dynamic. According to him, progress depends on continuous change — the decline of old industries, the emergence of new ones, and the replacement of outdated methods. Although this process is creative, it also has destructive aspects. Schumpeter warned of its negative consequences — such as economic instability, worker displacement, and political resistance from entrenched interest groups. Notably, these symptoms are now visible in Bangladesh.

Schumpeter elaborated on these ideas in his famous book Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy. In the same work, he also argued that capitalism would ultimately destroy itself as it evolved. He reasoned that the socio-psychological foundations of capitalism would gradually erode and eventually vanish. In this sense, his words seem to echo those of Karl Marx.

However, the causes he identified were different from Marx’s. Schumpeter argued that capitalist institutions, bureaucracies, and vested interests typically resist change. He further predicted that bureaucracy would eventually dominate industrial enterprises, diminishing the spirit of innovation. Massive inequality, he warned, would emerge — leading to public resistance and, consequently, increased state control and regulation. In other words, capitalism would meet its demise. Thus, Schumpeter suggested that the real challenge lies in sustaining the vitality and dynamism of innovation while skillfully managing its destructive outcomes. The downfall of capitalism, though undesirable, is an inevitable fate.

What did he say about socialism? He did not support Marx’s revolutionary communism, but he believed that through democratic and bureaucratic evolution — and due to the instability created by capitalism’s creative destruction — a form of socialism would gradually replace capitalism. This transformation, he argued, would occur peacefully. However, Schumpeter was skeptical about the efficiency of socialism. In his view, innovation under socialism would not be as dynamic as in capitalism, and the system would lack entrepreneurial energy.

The 2025 Nobel Prize in Economics was awarded “for explaining innovation-driven economic growth.” One part of the prize went to Joel Mokyr, while the other was jointly awarded to Philippe Aghion and Peter Howitt.

Mokyr identified the preconditions for sustained growth through technological progress. His research demonstrated how creative destruction becomes possible — what conditions allow innovations to build upon one another, and which social, cultural, and institutional factors sustain innovation over centuries. In particular, he showed that a knowledge-based culture, institutions that encourage freedom of exchange, and a mindset open to risk-taking are all crucial. Without these, the process of innovation can stagnate.

Philippe Aghion and Peter Howitt, in their model, explained how sustained growth can occur through Schumpeter’s theory of creative destruction. They transformed qualitative insights into a precise and analytically testable framework. These models help us understand how innovation generates growth from within the economy, how old institutions are displaced, how competition stimulates innovation, and how economic policies, institutions, and market structures influence this dynamism. The central premise of their theory is that growth emerges from a continuous cycle of innovation and destruction.

The Royal Swedish Academy awarded the prize to these three economists “for explaining innovation-driven economic growth.” The Academy noted that their work demonstrates that “economic growth cannot be taken for granted; it requires continuous effort,” and that “to avoid stagnation, the processes underpinning creative destruction must be kept alive.” They also explained how new products and discoveries accelerate economic growth.

To grasp the true significance of this Nobel-winning research, we must see how it builds upon Schumpeter’s original theory. Schumpeter’s framework was primarily philosophical and conceptual. Aghion and Howitt placed his ideas within a formal mathematical structure, allowing for quantitative analysis. Mokyr, on the other hand, added historical and institutional depth — exploring the long-term social, cultural, and scientific factors that make creative destruction possible. He identified the essential preconditions for sustaining innovation, encompassing cultural, institutional, and scientific dimensions.

The new research helps us understand which policies stimulate innovation and what their potential drawbacks are — for instance, how to preserve competition, how to design patent systems, how to address resistance from incumbents, and how institutions can remain open to new ideas. In this sense, their work represents a major advancement beyond Schumpeter’s original theory.

They also integrated Schumpeter’s ideas with more contemporary issues such as globalization, trade, openness, and the challenges of stagnation. The 2025 Nobel laureates’ research offers deep insights into why some economies, despite having access to technology, become stagnant or fail to innovate.

The celebrated 1992 article by economists Philippe Aghion and Peter Howitt, “A Model of Growth through Creative Destruction,” marked the birth of modern Schumpeterian growth theory. Through it, they transformed Schumpeter’s qualitative insights into a formal theoretical model. According to their framework, growth arises from a continuous process of innovation, in which new products and processes replace old and inefficient ones.

In earlier exogenous growth models, technological progress was treated as an external factor. Aghion and Howitt, however, made it endogenous — that is, driven by deliberate efforts and incentives. Firms invest in research and development to gain temporary monopoly power, but once superior technologies emerge, the old ones are replaced. Progress thus occurs through competition among innovators — a perpetual race in which success may be short-lived, yet society as a whole benefits from it.

While Aghion and Howitt presented the mechanics of innovation through formal models, economic historian Joel Mokyr explored its spirit. In his books The Lever of Riches and A Culture of Growth, Mokyr asked two profound questions: Why did the Industrial Revolution occur in Europe — and why did it endure? After years of research, he found his answer. He discovered that the Industrial Revolution was not merely a revolution in markets or machinery, but a revolution in thought, mindset, and culture.

According to Mokyr, Europe’s economic transformation emerged from a unique cultural and intellectual environment — one that valued curiosity, experimentation, and rational inquiry. The so-called “Republic of Letters” — a transnational network of scholars, scientists, and inventors across Europe — allowed knowledge to flow freely across borders. This openness gave rise to what Mokyr calls “the Industrial Enlightenment,” a period when scientific discovery and technological innovation began to reinforce one another.

For Mokyr, innovation is not merely an economic activity; it is a cultural institution. Progress occurs when a society rewards new ideas and tolerates the uncertainty that accompanies them. But where imitation, censorship, or fear of failure prevail, the light of creativity fades. His research offers a profound historical lesson: for sustainable growth, capital and labor alone are not enough — a thriving ecosystem of freedom, trust, and intellectual openness is equally essential.

What can Bangladesh learn from this research? The country’s garments industry has been the cornerstone of its industrialization. However, to remain competitive, it must increasingly rely on automation, design innovation, and environmentally sustainable production methods. Similarly, the rise of Bangladesh’s digital economy — from e-commerce to IT services — requires preparing young entrepreneurs to innovate.

Bangladesh’s growth model, driven by cheap labor and export-oriented production, though impressive, cannot be sustained indefinitely. The challenge now is to foster innovation-driven growth — one that depends not merely on physical infrastructure, but on creating an environment where creativity, experimentation, and entrepreneurial spirit can flourish.

Innovation or stagnation: The 2025 Economics Nobel & future of developing economies

Published on The finacial Express 25 October, 2025

This year’s Nobel Prize in Economics awarded to Joel Mokyr, Philippe Aghion, and Peter Howitt signifies recognition of substantial advancements in the field of innovation-driven economic growth. Their research is anchored in the concept of creative destruction, a theoretical framework first articulated by Joseph Schumpeter, a Harvard professor whose influence persists across generations of economists and scholars.

Schumpeter’s theory of creative destruction says that economic development, capitalist evolution, and technological progress materialise through a perpetual cycle of replacement, whereby emergent technologies, products, institutions, and business models supersede those that are obsolete. Central to this theoretical construct is the entrepreneur, whom Schumpeter identifies as the principal agent of innovation. Entrepreneurs disrupt entrenched structures and reallocate resources toward more productive uses, thereby catalysing economic transformation.

Schumpeter described capitalism as a system driven by constant change, where old industries fade, new ones emerge, and economic methods keep evolving. This process fuels innovation but also brings disruption—causing instability, job losses, and resistance from those who benefit from the old order. Similar patterns can be seen in today’s Bangladeshi economy.

In his seminal work, Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy, Schumpeter elaborated upon the mechanisms through which capitalism may ultimately undermine itself. He theorised that the socio-psychological underpinnings of capitalism would gradually erode, culminating in the system’s eventual dissolution—a perspective that exhibits conceptual resonance with Karl Marx,. Specifically, Schumpeter contended that institutional inertia, bureaucratic expansion, and entrenched interests hinder adaptive change, and predicted that bureaucratisation would supplant entrepreneurial vigour, thereby diminishing innovation. He further anticipated that pronounced inequality would incite public resistance, engendering expanded state intervention and regulatory frameworks, and thus precipitating the demise of capitalism.

For Schumpeter, the principal challenge lies in sustaining the dynamism of innovation while judiciously managing its destructive externalities. He regarded the eventual decline of capitalism as an inevitable, though undesirable, outcome.

Regarding socialism, Schumpeter did not support Marxian revolutionary communism; instead, he predicted that the instability generated by creative destruction, coupled with democratic and bureaucratic evolution, would facilitate a gradual and peaceful transition to a form of socialism. Nevertheless, he was sceptical about socialism’s capacity for innovation, arguing that the absence of entrepreneurial incentives would impede the system’s creative potential.

The 2025 Nobel Prize in Economics was conferred in recognition of research elucidating the mechanisms underpinning innovation-driven economic growth. Joel Mokyr identified the prerequisites for sustained technological advancement, demonstrating how creative destruction is contingent upon specific cultural, social, and institutional conditions. Mokyr emphasised the necessity of a knowledge-oriented culture, institutions that promote the free exchange of ideas, and a societal disposition conducive to risk-taking. Absent these factors, innovation is liable to stagnate.

Aghion and Howitt advanced Schumpeterian theory by constructing formal, analytically robust models that explicate how endogenous innovation engenders sustained economic growth. Their framework delineates the displacement of established institutions, the role of competition in stimulating innovation, and the influence of policy, institutional architecture, and market structure on economic dynamism. The central thesis posits that growth is the product of a continuous, self-renewing cycle of innovation and obsolescence.

The Royal Swedish Academy honoured the three economists “for explaining innovation-driven economic growth.” In its statement, the Academy stressed that economic growth is never automatic — it demands constant effort — and warned that “to prevent stagnation, the forces behind creative destruction must be kept alive.” Their collective research shows how new ideas, products, and discoveries can accelerate growth.

To appreciate the full importance of this Nobel-winning work, it must be viewed in relation to Schumpeter’s original theory. Schumpeter’s ideas were largely philosophical and conceptual. Aghion and Howitt transformed them into a formal mathematical model, enabling empirical and quantitative analysis. Mokyr complemented this by providing historical and institutional context, examining the long-term cultural, social, and scientific foundations that sustain innovation and make creative destruction possible.

The recent research deepens our understanding of which policies effectively promote innovation and what trade-offs they entail — such as how to maintain competition, design patent systems, overcome resistance from established firms, and ensure that institutions stay receptive to new ideas. In this respect, their work significantly extends Schumpeter’s original theory.

They also connected Schumpeter’s concepts to modern issues like globalisation, trade, openness, and the risk of economic stagnation. The 2025 Nobel laureates’ contributions shed light on why some economies, even with access to advanced technology, struggle to innovate or experience prolonged stagnation.

The landmark 1992 paper by Philippe Aghion and Peter Howitt, “A Model of Growth through Creative Destruction,” marked the foundation of modern Schumpeterian growth theory. It translated Schumpeter’s qualitative insights into a formal theoretical framework, showing that economic growth emerges from a continuous cycle of innovation in which new products and processes replace out dated and inefficient ones.

Earlier exogenous growth models treated technological progress as something that occurred outside the economic system. Aghion and Howitt, however, made it an internal—or endogenous—process, driven by purposeful actions and incentives. Firms invest in research and development to gain temporary monopoly advantages, but as better technologies emerge, older ones are displaced. Growth, therefore, results from on-going competition among innovators — a relentless race in which individual success is fleeting, yet society as a whole advances.

While Aghion and Howitt explained the mechanics of innovation through formal modeling, economic historian Joel Mokyr examined its underlying spirit. In his influential works The Lever of Riches and A Culture of Growth, Mokyr posed two fundamental questions: Why did the Industrial Revolution begin in Europe, and why did it persist? After extensive research, he concluded that the revolution was not merely economic or technological—it was intellectual and cultural.

Mokyr argued that Europe’s transformation was born from a distinct cultural and intellectual climate that celebrated curiosity, experimentation, and rational inquiry. The “Republic of Letters”—a transnational community of scholars, scientists, and inventors—enabled knowledge to circulate freely across borders. This openness fostered what Mokyr terms the “Industrial Enlightenment,” an era in which scientific progress and technological innovation became mutually reinforcing.

For Mokyr, innovation is more than an economic process — it is a cultural institution. Progress thrives when societies value fresh ideas and accept the risks that come with them. But when imitation, censorship, or fear of failure dominate, creativity withers. His work offers a timeless lesson: sustainable growth requires more than capital and labour — it also depends on a vibrant culture of freedom, trust, and intellectual openness.

What lessons should the developing countries like Bangladesh extract from the theories of this year’s Nobel Laureates? Bangladesh’s garment industry has long been the foundation of its industrial success. Yet, to stay competitive, it must increasingly embrace automation, design innovation, and environmentally responsible production. Likewise, the expansion of Bangladesh’s digital economy — from e-commerce to IT services — hinges on empowering young entrepreneurs to think creatively and innovate.

Bangladesh’s growth model, built on low-cost labour and export-led production, has achieved remarkable progress but cannot endure forever. The next phase of development must focus on innovation-driven growth — one that rests not only on physical infrastructure, but also on cultivating an environment where creativity, experimentation, and entrepreneurship can truly thrive.
Dr N N Tarun Chakravorty is a Professor of Economics at Independent University, Bangladesh. Editor-At-Large, South Asia Journal. nntarun@gmail.com

When Destruction Becomes Creative: The Big Ideas Behind The 2025 Nobel In Economics – OpEd

Published in EURASIA REVIEW 22 October, 2025

This year’s Nobel laureates in economics — Joel Mokyr, Philippe Aghion, and Peter Howitt — received the prize for their research on, among other things, creative destruction. The idea that “destruction” itself can be creative was first presented as a theory by Harvard professor Joseph Schumpeter, who remains a favorite economist of millions, including myself.

What is this theory that has been discussed by students and teachers for generations?

Its central idea is that economic growth, the evolution of capitalism, and technological progress occur through a continuous cycle in which new technologies, products, institutions, or business models replace the old ones. Schumpeter placed particular emphasis on the role of the entrepreneur. Indeed, the entrepreneur is the driving force of innovation, because, according to Schumpeter, it is the entrepreneur who breaks down existing structures and reorganizes resources in new and more productive ways.

He considered the capitalist economy to be inherently dynamic. According to him, progress depends on continuous change — the decline of old industries, the emergence of new ones, and the replacement of outdated methods. Although this process is creative, it also has destructive aspects. Schumpeter warned of its negative consequences — such as economic instability, worker displacement, and political resistance from entrenched interest groups. Notably, these symptoms are now visible in Bangladesh.

Schumpeter elaborated on these ideas in his famous book Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy. In the same work, he also argued that capitalism would ultimately destroy itself as it evolved. He reasoned that the socio-psychological foundations of capitalism would gradually erode and eventually vanish. In this sense, his words seem to echo those of Karl Marx.

However, the causes he identified were different from Marx’s. Schumpeter argued that capitalist institutions, bureaucracies, and vested interests typically resist change. He further predicted that bureaucracy would eventually dominate industrial enterprises, diminishing the spirit of innovation. Massive inequality, he warned, would emerge — leading to public resistance and, consequently, increased state control and regulation. In other words, capitalism would meet its demise. Thus, Schumpeter suggested that the real challenge lies in sustaining the vitality and dynamism of innovation while skillfully managing its destructive outcomes. The downfall of capitalism, though undesirable, is an inevitable fate.

What did he say about socialism? He did not support Marx’s revolutionary communism, but he believed that through democratic and bureaucratic evolution — and due to the instability created by capitalism’s creative destruction — a form of socialism would gradually replace capitalism. This transformation, he argued, would occur peacefully. However, Schumpeter was skeptical about the efficiency of socialism. In his view, innovation under socialism would not be as dynamic as in capitalism, and the system would lack entrepreneurial energy.

The 2025 Nobel Prize in Economics was awarded “for explaining innovation-driven economic growth.” One part of the prize went to Joel Mokyr, while the other was jointly awarded to Philippe Aghion and Peter Howitt.

Mokyr identified the preconditions for sustained growth through technological progress. His research demonstrated how creative destruction becomes possible — what conditions allow innovations to build upon one another, and which social, cultural, and institutional factors sustain innovation over centuries. In particular, he showed that a knowledge-based culture, institutions that encourage freedom of exchange, and a mindset open to risk-taking are all crucial. Without these, the process of innovation can stagnate.

Philippe Aghion and Peter Howitt, in their model, explained how sustained growth can occur through Schumpeter’s theory of creative destruction. They transformed qualitative insights into a precise and analytically testable framework. These models help us understand how innovation generates growth from within the economy, how old institutions are displaced, how competition stimulates innovation, and how economic policies, institutions, and market structures influence this dynamism. The central premise of their theory is that growth emerges from a continuous cycle of innovation and destruction.

The Royal Swedish Academy awarded the prize to these three economists “for explaining innovation-driven economic growth.” The Academy noted that their work demonstrates that “economic growth cannot be taken for granted; it requires continuous effort,” and that “to avoid stagnation, the processes underpinning creative destruction must be kept alive.” They also explained how new products and discoveries accelerate economic growth.

To grasp the true significance of this Nobel-winning research, we must see how it builds upon Schumpeter’s original theory. Schumpeter’s framework was primarily philosophical and conceptual. Aghion and Howitt placed his ideas within a formal mathematical structure, allowing for quantitative analysis. Mokyr, on the other hand, added historical and institutional depth — exploring the long-term social, cultural, and scientific factors that make creative destruction possible. He identified the essential preconditions for sustaining innovation, encompassing cultural, institutional, and scientific dimensions.

The new research helps us understand which policies stimulate innovation and what their potential drawbacks are — for instance, how to preserve competition, how to design patent systems, how to address resistance from incumbents, and how institutions can remain open to new ideas. In this sense, their work represents a major advancement beyond Schumpeter’s original theory.

They also integrated Schumpeter’s ideas with more contemporary issues such as globalization, trade, openness, and the challenges of stagnation. The 2025 Nobel laureates’ research offers deep insights into why some economies, despite having access to technology, become stagnant or fail to innovate.

The celebrated 1992 article by economists Philippe Aghion and Peter Howitt, “A Model of Growth through Creative Destruction,” marked the birth of modern Schumpeterian growth theory. Through it, they transformed Schumpeter’s qualitative insights into a formal theoretical model. According to their framework, growth arises from a continuous process of innovation, in which new products and processes replace old and inefficient ones.

In earlier exogenous growth models, technological progress was treated as an external factor. Aghion and Howitt, however, made it endogenous — that is, driven by deliberate efforts and incentives. Firms invest in research and development to gain temporary monopoly power, but once superior technologies emerge, the old ones are replaced. Progress thus occurs through competition among innovators — a perpetual race in which success may be short-lived, yet society as a whole benefits from it.

While Aghion and Howitt presented the mechanics of innovation through formal models, economic historian Joel Mokyr explored its spirit. In his books The Lever of Riches and A Culture of Growth, Mokyr asked two profound questions: Why did the Industrial Revolution occur in Europe — and why did it endure? After years of research, he found his answer. He discovered that the Industrial Revolution was not merely a revolution in markets or machinery, but a revolution in thought, mindset, and culture.

According to Mokyr, Europe’s economic transformation emerged from a unique cultural and intellectual environment — one that valued curiosity, experimentation, and rational inquiry. The so-called “Republic of Letters” — a transnational network of scholars, scientists, and inventors across Europe — allowed knowledge to flow freely across borders. This openness gave rise to what Mokyr calls “the Industrial Enlightenment,” a period when scientific discovery and technological innovation began to reinforce one another.

For Mokyr, innovation is not merely an economic activity; it is a cultural institution. Progress occurs when a society rewards new ideas and tolerates the uncertainty that accompanies them. But where imitation, censorship, or fear of failure prevail, the light of creativity fades. His research offers a profound historical lesson: for sustainable growth, capital and labor alone are not enough — a thriving ecosystem of freedom, trust, and intellectual openness is equally essential.

What can Bangladesh learn from this research? The country’s garments industry has been the cornerstone of its industrialization. However, to remain competitive, it must increasingly rely on automation, design innovation, and environmentally sustainable production methods. Similarly, the rise of Bangladesh’s digital economy — from e-commerce to IT services — requires preparing young entrepreneurs to innovate.

Bangladesh’s growth model, driven by cheap labor and export-oriented production, though impressive, cannot be sustained indefinitely. The challenge now is to foster innovation-driven growth — one that depends not merely on physical infrastructure, but on creating an environment where creativity, experimentation, and entrepreneurial spirit can flourish.

Dr. N N Tarun Chakravorty

Dr. N N Tarun Chakravorty is a Visiting Professor of Economics at Siberian Federal University, Russia. Editor-At-Large, South Asia Journal. He has studied Economics at The University of Leeds, London School of Economics and The University of Bath. As an economist has presented papers in several conferences arranged by Royal Economic Society, American Economic Association, UK-based Development Studies Association, Canadian Economics Association, Asia Pacific Region, Economic Congress of Russia etc.